Showing posts with label NFL Draft 2011. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NFL Draft 2011. Show all posts

Saturday, May 21, 2011

AFC North Draft Review 2011

Today, we will take a look into the future of the AFC North as it pertains to the 2011 Draft. Although the two Ohio teams will still be weaker this coming season, look for this draft to be the key that opens the door to a changing of the guard in the years to come.

Let me begin by saying that I love the brand of smash mouth football this division plays. With hard hitting defenses and impact runners like Peyton Hillis, Rashard Mendenhall, Ray Rice, and Cedric Benson -all of whom topped 1000 yards rushing in 2010, you truly get "three yards and a cloud of dust" on a weekly basis. With the option to see a great play action fake that ends up going 72 yards for a score, you can never get enough of AFC North action. Let's go!


Cleveland Browns:
Everyone who cares knew the Browns were going to take WR Julio Jones with the sixth overall pick. Then, they traded that pick to the Atlanta Falcons, who promptly took Jones. They received much in return though, getting Atlanta's 27th overall pick, their 2nd, and 4th round picks in the 2011 draft, and their 1st and 4th rounders next year.

They then traded the 27th pick to the Kansas City Chiefs for the 21st pick and took Baylor DT Phil Taylor. Taylor is of the large variety, at over 6'-3" and 335 pounds. He will play Nose Tackle in the 3-4 defense, anchoring a line that struggled in 2010. He compares to Vince Wilfork of the New England Patriots (and even looks like him a bit), and should start early in Cleveland. Phil is fairly athletic for his size, and can even serve as a lead blocker on short yard situations if needed.

Their second round selection is a good one, and underrated as a player, I believe. DE Jabaal Sheard out of Pittsburgh didn't get a lot of attention from draft "experts", and he should prove quickly that he deserved it. He is very fast off the edge, and has a plethora of moves to get him to the quarterback. He might have trouble early on with the bull rush, as most tackles in the NFL are stronger and more skilled (especially if on the right side of the defense) at defending against it. He most likely will depend on his length and speed to get to the QB throughout his career.

The inordinate amount of talent at the defensive end position saw him drop out of the first round. But I promise you, this kid could have been taken anywhere from 15-20, and it would not have surprised me at all. He is a potential all pro in the next five years.

The Browns made up for not taking Jones, grabbing North Carolina WR Greg Little with the 59th overall pick early in round three. Make no mistake, however, there is nothing "little" about him. Greg is 6'-3" 230lbs, and runs a 4.5sec 40 yard dash. He is incredibly strong, stiff-arming linebackers to the ground with little problem (pun completely intended).

He was among those suspended at North Carolina before the 2010 season for taking money from agents, and missed the entire year. Had he played, Little may have been the third receiver taken, probably by Kansas City, who took Johnathan Baldwin instead. He will battle for a starting spot immediately, as Cleveland does not have a true number one receiver. This gives them the deep threat they have needed for years, and will create even more running room for Hillis.

Other notable draft selections to Cleveland include TE Jordan Cameron from Southern California, and DB Eric Hagg out of Nebraska. Cameron is big and athletic, and with an aging Ben Watson getting slower as the years move along, he may wind up getting a lot of playing time as the season progresses. Hagg has a nose for the football. He is smart, and could prove to be a great 7th round pick in the years to come. Oh, and he hails from my high school Alma Matter. Go Eagles!

Draft Grade: B-



Pittsburgh Steelers:
Pittsburgh typically drafts very well, and their success of late is almost solely the result of drafting. They don't do much shopping for free agents, and they don't make trades. The success of the Steelers defense will depend on the health of all pro S Troy Polamalu for now. And with that in mind, they got defensive in the 2011 draft.

First, it was Ohio State DE Cameron Heyward, who is the son of a former NFL power RB, the late Craig "Ironhead" Heyward. Cameron has a high motor, and is powerful enough to handle pretty much any offensive lineman in the league. I watched many of his games, being a Buckeye fan, and if there is one knock on him, it is that he is at times too aggressive, and can over pursue and find himself out of position. That is deadly in the NFL. However, as defensive minded as this team is, I have little doubt that will be taken care of quickly. He can play any position on the line, which will come in handy for Dick LeBeau and his quirky but always strong defensive scheme.

Their second round choice was University of Florida OL Marcus Gilbert. He has the ability to start right now, and if Max Starks can't stay healthy and/or Flozell Adams struggles as he did a year ago, that's just what will happen. Gilbert is agile for his massive frame (6'-6'' 330lbs) and is durable. He can play on either side of the line, and can fill in at Guard if the need arises. He will be an anchor on this line for the next decade, health pending.

Going back to the defensive side, they took DB Curtis Brown from Texas. Brown is extremely athletic, boasting the best vertical leap of all cornerbacks at the combine, at 39.5 inches. He displays good speed, and can help out on special teams in the return game. I don't see him starting this season, but he can step into the nickel role and contribute by shutting down an opposing offense's 3rd receiver. He is an average sized back, no eye popping vital stats to speak of. He is just a solid football player, and can make an impact on this defense in a few year's time.

Other notable players drafted by Pittsburgh are OLB Christopher Carter from Fresno State, and Cortez Allen, a CB out of The Citadel. Carter played DE in college, and finished 7th in the NCAA in sacks last season with 11. He is much too small for the position in the NFL, so will make the switch to outside linebacker. Allen has above average height for a cornerback, at almost 6'-2'', and is quick off the ball in coverage. It appears to me he gets turned around easily, but his athletic ability and DB coach will help work that out.

Draft Grade: C+


Baltimore Ravens:
As it turns out, Baltimore does care about the offense and its performance. The receivers they have drafted since 2008 combined for exactly zero catches last season.

We'll get to that in just a minute, as Colorado CB Jimmy Smith was their first selection. This makes an already stout defense even better in the years to come. He has great size and speed, and that combination could see him in the Pro Bowl before too long. There are questions about his character, but don't most great DBs in the NFL have a character flaw or two? This shouldn't be a problem. If anything, it brings more attitude to the most animated defense in the league.

Maryland WR Torrey Smith is an outstanding athlete. He shows good adjustment to the ball while it's in the air, and has great leaping ability, with a 41 inch performance in the vertical at the combine. Smith is a reliable punt returner, and can be a third receiver in his rookie season. He has good hands, but catches the ball up against his body a little too much. That could be problematic with Joe Flacco -who has an Abrams Tank Cannon for an arm- throwing to him.

In the third round, the Ravens chose OT Jah Reid out of Central Florida. With Michael Oher inhabiting the left side of the line, it makes sense to draft a lineman who is familiar with the right side at the tackle position. Reid played there while in college, and will continue to do so throughout his career. 6'-7'' and 330 pounds, he is the ideal size for the spot. He has admittedly had weight problems in the past, so this could be a concern, especially with the lockout in full effect for the moment. I don't know much about his work ethic, but if he shows up to camp out of shape, you'll know why.

Other notable selections by the Ravens are Indiana WR Tanden Doss, and Virginia Tech QB Tyrod Taylor. Doss is a physical receiver, and a crisp route runner. He should challenge Torrey Smith for that third receiver role. Taylor is being brought in to be a backup, getting the chance to learn from a great professional. This is a good situation for him to be in, as he needs work if he wants to become a starter in the league.

Draft Grade: B-

The Bengals may have done more for their future than any other team in the division. They made it clear the direction they intend to go, and I believe the choices they made on draft weekend were the first step in turning things around in Cincy.

With their number 4 overall pick, they took Georgia's A.J. Green, an outstanding WR with great speed and top notch elusiveness. He is Dez Bryant without the attitude. He will replace troubled veteran Chad Johnson sooner than some think, and will earn his spot with no trouble. He has excellent hands and catches the ball away from his body. He will win most jump ball opportunities in the red zone, and displays awesome adjustment skills while the ball is in the air.

They then picked their replacement for Carson Palmer, taking fellow redheaded QB Andy Dalton out of TCU. Dalton is ultra accurate throwing only 24 interceptions in his 1,001 passing attempts, and has adequate arm strength to perform in the NFL for years. He did nothing but win in his college career, racking up 29 wins for the Horned Frogs. He shows above average ability to escape the rush, but is most certainly a thrower first. He stands strong in the pocket, and can take a hit and get right back up.

In the third round, they picked up Dontay Moch, an OLB out of Nevada. He has impressive speed for his size. At 250lbs, he ran a 4.4sec 40 at the combine. Along with his 42 inch vertical and 128 inch standing broad jump, he was among the best performing athletes at his position during the combine. His play on the field, though, is why he was drafted by the Bengals. They need a spark plug at linebacker, and he is nothing short of that. He plays with high energy and great intensity, and can be the leader of a leader-less defense in a matter of a couple NFL seasons.

Other notable picks for Cincinnati include S Robert Sands from West Virginia, and OG Clint Boling from Georgia. Sands is big and plays that way. He uses his size well, knocking away passes easily. He lacks top end speed, but he can play close to the line and help out in the run game, as Adrian Wilson of the Arizona Cardinals does. Boling was a four year starter at Georgia, and has great football instincts. He is an above average run blocker, but lacks the strength as of now to dominate in pass protection. Nonetheless, he should start from day one at either of the guard positions.

Draft Grade: B+

Monday, May 9, 2011

NFC West Draft Review 2011

Going into the draft, there were many speculations on how many quarterbacks would be drafted by NFC West teams with their respective number one picks. First were the Arizona Cardinals at #5, who some say have the biggest need at the position. They shied away from the much discussed QBs and took the best player available to them. Then just two picks later, the San Francisco 49ers did the same, selecting for a need they have on the defensive line. Next up at #14, the St. Louis Rams, who have the smallest need for a quarterback, also chose a defensive lineman. No surprise there. But then you have the Seattle Seahawks, a team with an aging field general who has no contract for the upcoming NFL season. Every expert who would be heard ensured us that they'd draft a quarterback, simply because their leader may not return next year, and the backup option is a notch below mediocre. With their #25 pick, they added an offensive lineman. And not even the best on the draft boards. Intriguing. Let us now look at each team and their selections.


Arizona Cardinals:
Most experts said they need to take a QB with their first choice. And if not then, at least  in the second or third round. They ignored everyone and drafted the best available players throughout the entire draft. First up was most likely the best player in the draft, and certainly the most athletic, making CB Patrick Peterson from LSU the number five overall pick. My thought on this is, no matter who they would have drafted in the later rounds, the Cardinals would have had a top 10 draft class just because of this pick. He is a complete game changer, said to be the next Charles Woodson, and will take some pressure off of Dominique Rogers-Cromartie. The Cardinals defense scored a league best 12 touchdowns last season, and that may actually increase with Peterson now roaming the secondary. He likely will start at corner from day one so that DRC can move to the second corner spot, giving Arizona one of the top corner duos in the league. Greg Toler will play the nickel corner and be among the best options there as well.

In the second round with the 38th overall pick, they took RB Ryan Williams from Virginia Tech. Many (including myself) at first thought the Cardinals had lost their minds with this pick. However, looking deeper at the choice, Williams is a hard runner who has tremendous balance and a nose for contact. He won't shy away from a hit, and will catch the ball out of the backfield. He reminds me a lot of Maurice Jones-Drew in that he runs low to the ground with the power to run over a member of the secondary, and also has the speed and agility to get by linebackers regularly. If Beanie Wells and Tim Hightower (who is a restricted free agent) don't produce early, Ryan could and should find himself starting by mid-season. Perhaps earlier.

Rob Housler, the overall number 69 pick early in the third round, is a TE from Florida Atlantic University. He might be the best tight end to come out of this draft class, based solely on his athletic ability. He is 6'-5" 250 pounds, and has run a 4.45sec 40 Yard dash. Arizona has a great need for such a player at this position. When he puts on some NFL bulk and works with Offensive Line coach and Hall of Famer Russ Grimm, he will become a better blocker as well. Keep this in mind: Tight Ends do not make the Pro Bowl based on their blocking ability. He is an immediate threat in the passing game, and will force defenses to shy away from blitzing their linebackers constantly, as they will need to focus on where he is on the field. That should create open lanes for Arizona's talented receiving core, and make quarterbacking this offense a bit less difficult.

Other notable picks for Arizona are DE Sam Acho from the University of Texas, and ILB Quan Sturdivant from North Carolina. Acho will play outside linebacker in the 3-4 defense. Sturdivant has a high football IQ, and knows offensive schemes well (he played quarterback in high school). He can be a future leader on the defense if he wants to be. Both could earn starting roles before the season ends.

Draft Grade: B+


San Francisco 49ers:
The 49ers did their defense a favor with the number 7 overall selection, taking DE Aldon Smith from the University of Missouri. Smith is long and athletic, standing just over 6'-4'', and weighing in at 263 pounds. He ran a 4.74sec 40, and bench pressed the standard 225 pounds 20 times. I find this to be fairly weak, because as a senior in high school, I did this same weight 23 times. Granted, I graduated at 5'-10'' and had much shorter arms, but it seems that this draft class did not perform as well in the weight room as past years' classes did. That being said, he is a great pick for this struggling defense. Justin Smith was the bright spot on the defensive line last season, producing 8.5 sacks, but he will be 32 on September 30 (we share the same birthday, 5 years apart). While he can still perform at a pretty high level, he only has a few years of solid work left in his legs, I would believe.

They did address the QB situation with the 36th pick, taking Colin Kaepernick out of Nevada. Colin is an athletic runner, and throws the ball well across his body. I'm not sure if he is the answer to the offensive problems for San Francisco, but he does give them some different options. I doubt new coach Jim Harbaugh will want to run the Pistol while in the bay area, but perhaps he'll let Kaepernick mess around with it against his defense in training camp and practice. Maybe he will strike gold. Kaepernick shows decent arm strength when given time, but loses accuracy -as most young QBs will- when pressured, and sometimes looks to take off down the field before trying to find a receiver. He has said he considers himself a throwing quarterback who can run, and intends to be that in the NFL. When the Smith duo fails again, he is willing to step in and save the day. But will he be able? Only time will tell.

San Francisco added speed to their secondary in the third round. DB Chris Culliver from South Carolina University is a threat in the kick return game, and if Ted Ginn Jr. cannot stay healthy, Culliver would be a good replacement on the goal line for the return team. He is a big hitter who loves contact, and isn't afraid to blitz off the corner. Solid form when tackling, he may be able to teach some things to the other corners on this team. He also is a character, and could be a leader in the years to come. The 49ers may have gotten a great deal taking him with the 80th pick in the draft. Culliver may replace the aging Nate Clements if he performs well and shows the work ethic needed to get better every day.

Other notable drafted players include RB Kendall Hunter from Oklahoma State and WR Ronald Johnson. Hunter is an small, elusive back, and Johnson actually reminds me of Anquan Boldin. He has a good first move after the catch, and has great hands. Solid pick.

Draft Grade: C



St. Louis Rams:
Scouts thought that Robert Quinn out of North Carolina would go in the top 10 of the draft, and when he didn't, I was shocked. The Rams were more than pleased to get him at 14. A pure pass rusher with good speed and the ability to get to the quarterback even when being held, he will start immediately opposite Chris Long. This should scare the pants off every tackle in the NFC West, and if they're not scared off, they'll fall when Quinn blows by them and pounds their QB. At 6'-4'' and 265 pounds, his 4.62sec 40 is terrifying (fastest among DEs). He will be a perennial Pro Bowler, and also help take some of the heat off of a secondary that did not cause a single defensive touchdown all of last season.

Their second round pick of Lance Kendricks, a TE out of Wisconsin, gives QB Sam Bradford a good check down option that he didn't get much consistency out of in his rookie year. Kendricks is strong, and sure handed. He is solid in the run block, and understands coverages well, it seems. He has the ability to go up and get the ball at its apex, and adjusts well to a misplaced throw. If he can remain healthy, St. Louis can plug him into the starting TE spot for years to come. Daniel Fells led the TE corps with 41 receptions, and the group as a whole combined for 70 catches a year ago, so Bradford clearly likes finding them, even though it was an injury-prone bunch.

Further addressing the need for pass catchers in the third round, the Rams took WR Austin Pettis from Boise State. I love this pick for their sake. Sure, trading up to get Julio Jones would have been interesting, but in Pettis, you get an experienced, athletic football player who has excellent hands and wonderful quickness off the ball. He explodes off the line of scrimmage, and is fearless running routes to the middle of the field. It's almost as if he enjoys the contact, much like Hines Ward. He has the mentality of a number one receiver, and expects the ball regularly. Luckily for him -and for the entire Rams organization-, his quarterback can grant that wish. He could be the second or third best talent in his draft class at WR when all is said and done.

Other notable players drafted by the Rams include WR Greg Salas from Hawaii and S Jermale Hines (second pick-6 in the video) from THE Ohio State University. Salas is strong and tough, like Pettis, and will be useful pretty early for the Rams. Hines is big for a Safety, but quick and agile enough to play the position well. Has room to get bigger, so he may wind up at OLB.

Draft Grade: B



Seattle Seahawks:
Everyone in the bar I watched the draft from collectively said "WHO??" when the Seahawks picked OT James Carpenter out of Alabama with their number 25 overall pick. I had to give them some background on him quickly before Berman and Co. could beat me to it. He will probably start in this league for 10 years, but it certainly was not the popular pick. His first step back in pass coverage is quick and deliberate, as it should be. He helped RB Mark Ingram win the Heisman Trophy in 2009, but to me, he lacks the strength to handle the best pass rushers in the league.

Seattle did not have a second round pick, but took another offensive lineman in the third round (no. 75), C/OG John Moffitt from Wisconsin. I do like this pick slightly better than Carpenter, as Moffitt can probably start at all five positions on the line. That versatility will prove useful for Coach  Pete Carroll. My "expert" opinion says that he will end up under center. He's a good leader among the giants up front, and can be that early on in his career. Think Maurkice Pouncey when you think about how he can impact an offensive line. He won't start from day one as Pouncey did, but his adaptability on the line is much the same.

Other notable players drafted by the Seahawks include OLB K.J. Wright from Mississippi State, and WR Kris Durham from Georgia. Wright plays bigger than he is, but has a lot of room to get better if he puts the work in. Durham is a big target at 6'-5'', and has decent speed and hands to be capable of being a fourth receiver on this team.

Draft Grade: D-

Tuesday, March 8, 2011

NFC West Draft Needs (First Selection Only)

I find myself getting itchy and antsy when I think about the possibility of there not being an NFL season come August. In the past, this would have nearly killed me. Literally. But now, I think I will just share some of my thoughts on how the teams from the NFC West should draft when the time comes. Sure, they won't listen to me, but I'm going to do it anyway. For my own sake, and for yours, if you're jonesing like I am. We will speak of the teams in the order they will make their picks when the draft begins on April, 28. The numbers in parenthesis reflect the team's record, followed by their respective first round draft position.

Arizona Cardinals (5-11, 5)
   The Cardinals' quarterback play in 2010 was, um, forgettable (you know I'm being nice). Many -in fact, most- "NFL Draft experts" say that they need to take a QB with their #5 pick. They would be wrong. For the bigger problem last season was their inability to get to the opposing quarterback and cause hurried and inaccurate throws. They only generated 33 sacks as a team, which is a hair over two per game and down from 43 in 2009. To achieve those type of numbers again, they need to upgrade the linebacking core, which was led by Joey Porter and Clark Haggans (5.0 sacks each). Compare that to should-have-been-defensive-player-of-the-year Clay Matthews, who had 13.5 all by his lonesome, and you can see that I'm right. Put that together with the fact that Porter and Haggans -who were teammates at Colorado State in the late '90s- are a combined age of 67, and you have a recipe for defensive disaster in 2011 if they don't address the need in late April.

   Who should they take at #5? Von Miller, Texas A&M. He had 28 sacks in his final two seasons as an Aggie, and is much like the aforementioned Matthews. They're the same height, and Matthews has about 10 pounds on Miller. Both are lightning quick off the ball, and get around or run through offensive linemen with little trouble. Miller is smart, and he is a leader. Causing pressure in the backfield is essential to the success of a defense. Without Clay Matthews, for example, the Packers don't even sniff the playoffs last season, let alone get in and dominate everyone en route to hoisting up the Lombardi Trophy. A great pass rushing linebacker takes pressure off of the secondary, it allows your corners to relax a bit (see Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie) and your safeties to be able to drop into coverage more often without the need to play up at the line of scrimmage.

San Francisco 49ers (6-10, 7)
   The 49ers also have a need for a quarterback, but unlike Arizona, they need to address this with their first pick. Cam Newton will most likely be there, but I am not sold on him one bit. He can run like the wind, but as stated in a previous entry, he needs much work in the throwing department. San Fran cannot afford to wait for him to develop into a true QB, as their leading receiver was tight end Vernon Davis, who had only 56 catches in 2010. They have a fairly talented receiving core, which starts with Michael Crabtree. He led the team with 101 targets (passes attempted for him), but only managed to catch 55 of them. That is just terrible.

   Who should they take at #7? Blaine Gabbert, Missouri. He has the size (6'-5'' 235lbs) and the arm to produce at a high level for a number of years. Gabbert reminds me of Matt Ryan in that he can step right in and run the offense with success and be a leader immediately. His completion percentage last season wasn't ideal, but if you watched any of the Tigers' games (you probably did not), you would have seen many drops by receivers. This was the norm for Missou in 2010. But as long as Gabbert can get the ball out on time and to the hands of Crabtree, the 49er offense will be vastly improved. And with Frank Gore returning healthy, defenses beware.

St. Louis Rams (7-9, 14)
  I envy the Rams because they are in the unique position in the NFC West of actually NOT needing a QB. The defense was decent enough in 2010, so they can address a need or two later in the draft. They only caused 14 interceptions, but made up for it by forcing 27 fumbles. That's only one less than Super Bowl runner up Pittsburgh Steelers, who pride themselves in having one of the best defenses in the NFL every year. Quite impressive. No, what they need more than anything is a big target for Mr. Golden Arm to throw to. Danny Amendola caught almost 90 passes in 2010, but for less than 700 yards. They need a deep threat in the worst way.

   Who should they take at #14? Julio Jones, Alabama. Many found out just how good an athlete he is at the NFL Combine, when he blew away the competition, running a 4.39 in the 40 yard dash, and an amazing 11'-3'' broad jump, just 2'' off the combine record. His speed and leaping ability aside, he has probably the best set of hands among wide receivers in this draft, and many have compared him to the great Larry Fitzgerald -myself included. So for the Rams, this seems like a no-brainer.

Seattle Seahawks (7-9, 25)
   The Seahawks won the NFC West in 2010, then won a playoff game on Wild Card Weekend in mid-January. Therefore, they have a lower pick in the first round than a 7-9 squad should probably have. They -like everyone in the division but St. Louis- need a QB, because Matt Hasselbeck will be 36 on Sept. 25. And let's be honest, how many more years will he be able to endure 30 sacks per and still get up? Be that as it may, their best bet will be to sign a younger free agent or trade for one once the new CBA is signed. They need help in the secondary. The defense as a whole collected only 12 interceptions all of last year, and unless that changes, things will only get worse on defense for them.

   Who should they take at #25? Chimdi Chekwa, THE Ohio State. I would have said they should draft Prince Amukamara out of Nebraska, but he likely won't be available at 25. For some, this may be a stretch. Not for me. As you know, I am a Buckeye, born and bred. I watched this young man from the time he was a freshman through the 2011 Sugar Bowl, and let me tell you, he will shine on Sundays. His 4.4 second 40 ranked him 3rd among corners in the draft, and having worked with head coach Jim Tressel's staff for four years, he is a mature defender who stays home when in a zone defense, and is constantly in the hip pocket of his assignment when running man to man. He possesses poise beyond his years, and the ability if you ask it of him to blitz from his corner position.